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Has Moneyball Ruined Professional Baseball?

Moneyball cover

Opening Pitch

It’s just the end of April and fans already are lamenting the injuries to pitchers in the major leagues. Sports pundits like Michael Wilbon reported five starting pitchers have gone onto the injured reserve list from one team alone. He attributes these injuries to high school coaches emphasizing their teenage ptichers throw hard in every game. However, that symptom reflects an underlying truth. The actual reason these young pitchers throw hard is because that’s the only way to catch the attention of MLB scouts. And why do they want to reach the major leagues? Because that’s where the big money lies. And what determines who gets that big money? Moneyball!

What Is Moneyball?

The term originated in a 2003 book by Michael Lewis entitled, Moneyball: the Art of Winning an Unfair Game. In it, the author propounds his thesis that the traditional guideposts used to evaluate a player’s value are outdated, subjective, and flawed. Examples of such outmoded measures for hitters are batting average and runs batted in. For pitchers, such measures include complete games and earned run average.

Instead, Lewis advocated the use of sabermetrics, an empirical, detailed, and objective analysis of player performance. Judged by these criteria, a player’s on-base percentage and his slugging percentage provide superior indicators of a his value to his team.

For pitchers, concepts such as WHIP (Walks and Hits per Innings Pitched) and FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching statistics) replace earned run average (ERA) and strikeouts. Though these measures seem arcane, their objective remains the same. That means providing an objective determination of a pitcher’s effectiveness in mastering aspects over which he has complete control, i.e. strikeouts, home runs, hit batters, etc.

A refinement of this latter statistic is DIPS (Defense-Independent Pitching Statistics) developed by Voros McCracken. Using this method, Voros showed that w that there is little to no difference between pitchers in the number of hits they allow or balls put into play—regardless of their individual skill levels. Such a metric quantifies the independent value of each player. However, it also exposes their vulnerability. In short, they’re interchangeable. And expendable.

Why Moneyball Matters

At this point some readers might wonder what any of these metrics have to do with pitchers’ arm injuries. The key lies in the book’s subtitle: Winning an Unfair Game. Ever since the U. S. Supreme Court ruled in 1922 that baseball was an entertainment rather than a sport, the game was not subject to anti-trust constraints. Unlike other professional sport activities, teams based in large metropolitan areas, have enjoyed an unfair advantage in revenue and income. In light of this asymmetric competitive structure, teams based in smaller markets sought ways to erode the more populous’based teams’ competitive advantage.

Ways and Means

One way involves moving to cities and metropolitan areas willing to offer generous terms on stadiums, concessions, and the like. An alternative approach requires reducing overhead, more specifically, player-development. Rather than spend money on scouts and minor league farm systems, sabermetrics makes a convincing case for drafting players out of college. As professional football and basketball realized, college players developed the skills and maturity necessary to compete at the professional level with little cost to the teams that draft them.

Consequences

This development may seem a callous and self-serving way of controlling costs, and it is. But it also provides a way to level the economic playing field between the wealthier and poorer (comparatively) teams. It also factors into why the number of minor league divisions have dwindled from four (A,B, C, & D) to one: A.

Another consequence is fan support. Besides eroding baseball’s wellsprings for players and local fan involvement, it reduces the value of the individual performer. In seeking out those players that “are undervalued in the market,” the Oakland Athletics became baseball’s first team to embody what Lewis characterizes as “the ruthless drive for efficiency that capitalism demands.”

Costs

But at what price? If everyday players are measured by their power figures alone, it’s little wonder they strive only to hit homeruns regardless of their strength, size, or hitting ability. In regards to pitchers, it’s little wonder that they learn to throw as hard as they can for as long as they can. Why? Because another pitcher can be called in to replace him with the same effectiveness. If such is the case, how does management’s attitude toward its performers affect their morale and willingness to play?

What Can Be Done?

It’s been over twenty years since Moneyball hit the market. In that time, numerous baseball general managers incorportated it into their operations with varying degrees of success. While it did enable the Oakland As to identify the value of players other teams overlooked, the impact of sabermetrics reduced performance quality and thus fan enjoyment. Teams like the Tampa Bay Rays and the Miami Marlins did break through to the World Series, but sold off their best players when they renegotiated their contracts for more money.

Recent Approaches

Rob Manfred, the current commissioner of major league baseball, implemented several proposals to upgrade the game’s quality. Most are cosmetic. The most effective of these, reducing the time between pitches, speeded up the game and reduced its duration overall. However, baseball with its defined innings and at bats was never a dynamic ebb-and-flo game like soccer.

MLB commissioner Rob Manfred

Another factor is fan sophistication. Being around for as long as it has, hardcore baseball fans appreciate nuances like the sacrifice bunt or the inning-ending double-play. Such accomplishments require skill, self-sacrifice, and team spirit. Suck emotional and subjective qualities seem lacking in today’s ballplayer. And which are not encouraged by team management.

The best way to rectify the situation may require reemphasizing these finer points of the game. Measure player effectiveness in bunting situations to advance the runner, for example, and reward those sacrifices accordingly in player contracts.

As for pitchers, put an upper limit on the number a squad can carry at any one time. Ten seems a good cutoff figure. Then, reward those pitchers for their efforts to stay in games longer and pacing themselves. If manaagement encourages pitchers to pitch more innings, complete games may again be a useful meaure of a pitcher’s contribution to his team.

Moneyball’s Tenth Inning

In summary, Moneyball wielded a profound impact on major league baseball by providing the means to discover a few hidden or overlooked gems on the playing field. Its truly incisive metrics provided the objective means to value ballplayers by their individual capabilities alone. However, this viewpoint also proved pernicious. Pitchers in particular, suffered. Their careers shortened in many instances because of their combat with hitters striving to make that extra-base hit. Consequently, pitchers learned to throw faster and harder to get these hitters out. This effort put more strain on their arms which resulted in more injuries, removed them from participating, and reduced their value to the team that hired them.

Because pitchers are already in more danger of burnout or arm injury, each team needs more of them. However, more pitchers reduces the relative value of each one, particularly if each pitches fewer innings each season. Already devalued in baseball’s salary structure for not being everyday players, pitchers seen through the Moneyball lens tend to be the units that allow general managers to reduce a team’s salary structure overall. Unlike Filk music musicians of varying abiilities who are allowed to participate for the sheer joy in performing, Moneyball’s metrics provide the means for baseball’s general managers to weaponize sabremetrics for the reduction or elimination of players’ livelihoods. Accepting that fact is what professionalism has come to stand for in the twenty-first century.

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Escape Rooms: Not for Faint of Heart

Fun and Fantasy of Escape Rooms

Most of us enjoy repeating pleasurable experiences. Whether they involve fishing in a favorite trout stream or reenacting a scene from a memortable movie, people enjoy imagining how they would act if they could single-handely land a giant tarpon or bring the fiendish Professor Moriarity to justice. Escape rooms offer a chance for engaging in such fantasies. At least, that’s what we thought when we signed up for one to celebrate my wife’s birthday. However, we discovered not everyone is comfortable with having the fantasticl come to life.

What Are Escape Rooms?

Escape Room apothecary equipment

Before discussing our escape room experience, let’s examine the concept. Escape rooms are one or more rooms in which players engage in “live-action, team-based games [in which they] discover clues, solve puzles, and accomplish taskes.” Most often, the goal is, as the name implies, to escape the game site within a given time frame.

The themes of these games originate from popular culture such as the exploits of Sherlock Holmes or the writings of Edgar Alan Poe. These two luminaries formed two of the offerings in the escape room we contacted. However, because of my wife’s interests in medicinal herbs and J.R.R. Tolkien, we chose to escape from a magic apothecary’s shop, perhaps echoing the tribulations suffered by Charles Dickens‘ heroine Nell Trent in The Old Curiosity Shop.

History of Escape Rooms

Origins

Although escape rooms seem a relatively new concept, the idea of escaping from a room or situation occurred as early as the 1970s. The advent of point-and-click adventure games led to the development of interactive in-game objects. The earliest of these, Planet Mephius, came out in Japan in 1983. Its popularity led to the first interactive trapped-in-a-room scenario with John Wilson’s Behind Closed Doors in 1988.

From Video Game to Physical Reality

These and other virtual reality games prompted Takao Kato to wonder in 2007 “why interesting things didn’t happen in my life, like they do in books.” The result: the Real Escape Game, the first experiential entertaintment game created in 2007. From there, the number of real life escape rooms proliferated throughout Asia and Europe, reaching the United States in 2014. As of 2022, gaming experts estimate escape rooms number over 600 sites in the U.S. alone.

Escape Room Overview

As the name implies, the “rules” are (deceptively) simple. Find clues leading to escaping the room within the allotted time, usually 45-60 minutes. Anywhere from two to ten players participate at any one time, and the challenges are usually more mental than physical. Depending on the theme, different games require different skill sets although expert knowledge in any field is not required. Any information required to solve a puzzle should be provided within the room’s contents.

Since the overall goal of the experience is entertainment, well-designed rooms contain provisions to insure a successful escape. Hints in the form of written notes, audio clues, and video instructions help players along in their pursuit of escape. In our game, the gamemaster provided helpful suggestions through messages that appeared in a “magic mirror.” As our allotted time dwindled, these hints grew more and more direct. Fortunately, we managed to escape and win the game with a little under three minutes to spare.

Escape Room Strategies

Exiting an escape room requires the employment of several basic skills. problem-solving, lateral thinking (thinking outside the box), and teamwork. The group must direct its efforts to solve a sequence of challenges or puzzles to unlock the door and leave the room within the allotted time. Puzzles may include word games, cyphers, riddles, and basic mathematical problems. Physical activity may include searching for physical objects, navigating mazes, or assembling clues.

Escaping our room involved all of these skills and activities. The six adults broke up into pairs. One pair investigated and activated the alchemical and pharmaceutical equipment in the room, another pair assembled and interpreted clues, while a third monitored the time limit and hints provided by the dungeon master. None of this activity was planned or formally agreed upon beforehand; to our our relief and surpose it just happened.

Escape room magic mirror

Escaping our room involved all of these skills and activities. The six adults broke up into pairs. One pair investigated and activated the alchemical and pharmaceutical equipment in the room, another pair assembled and interpreted clues, while a third monitored the time limit and hints provided by the dungeon master. None of this activity was planned or formally agreed upon beforehand; to our our relief and surpose it just happened.

Cautions and Controversies

Adult Impressions

Our reactions seemed to typify those following the adult escape room experience. No one coordinated our activities, but we surmounted the challenges and obstacles within the room and escaped. Despite the lack of direction and low-level anxiety, the adults employed teamwork and crisis management to solve the puzzles.

Reservations

Though the adults said they had fun and enjoyed the experience, some expressed qualms about deriving enjoyment from artificial entrapment. Granted our confinement was voluntary, but what if we had failed? In all likelihood, the gamemaster would have granted us extra time. But what if we were actually trapped? What if the door remained closed, the gamemaster had a stroke, and we remained sealed in the room like Boris Karlov in The Mummy?

Empathy

My August 2022 post on reading to one another seems relevant here. It mentions Neil Postman‘s 1984 prediction from his book Amusing Ourselves to Death. There he discusses how television’s sacrifice of quality information for corporate profit could become boring reality. Moreover, such entertainment desensitizes those who watch it. Similarly, interactive real-life games advances people’s detachment from the emotional information in physical reality one step further. If they derive enjoyment from physical entrapment, does escaping that reality desentitize them from the plights of people trapped in real-world predicaments? How empathetic can we be to the victims of human trafficking or enslavement, for example, when our escape is just minutes or a safeword away ?

One might argue that voluntary participation makes all the difference. Choosing one’s entrapment negates any guilt that might accrie about people stuck in real-life situations not of their choosing. However, the thrill one feels about being trapped in a situation seems cheap knowing one can escape at any time. Just say the safe word, and the catharsis derivied from achieving that objective diminishes as well.

Children’s Response

My grandsons’ reactions to the escape room experience seem instructive at this point. Aged seven and four, both boys went willingly into the apothecary room and explored the phials, bottles, and rudimentary pharmacy equipment within. But when the youngest spotted a small, hissing dragon painted in a corner of the room, he retreated to his mother’s arms for the rest of the hour. The older boy coped by hunching down in an out-of-way corner and played Mario Cart on his cellphone. After our escape, neither boy expressed enjoyment of the experience until the astute gamemaster rewarded with magic wands for their courage and perseverance.

Escape Room Takeaways

Caregiver Options

Critics might say the boys’ uneasiness could have been avoided if the adults had practiced due diligence in choosing the theme. Child-oriented versions of escape rooms do exist. However, the magic apothecary theme seemed least threatening among the choices available at this particular escape room.Other options include disignating one of the adults to stay with the boys, leaving them with a sitter, or having them stay home altogether. But since they too wanted to engage in their grandmother’s birthday celebration, that didn’t seem a viable alternative.

Silver Linings

On the other hand, the boys’ witnessed trusted adults coping as best they could in a mad scramble for clues to free themselves. They could regard this in years to come as a learning experience, enlightening if not enriching. Perhaps if more precautions had been taken, the youngsters’ apprehensions would have diminished. At the same time, it’s also true that their fears were more genuine than the adults’ satisfaction in achieving their make-believe goal. Given the proliferation of these establishments throughout the United States, caring parents and grandparents should review these establishments beforehand and ask questions. Some horror-themed escape rooms, for example, employ escaping from physical restraints like handcuffs or zip ties, so be careful. Make certain to keep the mental and emotional demands of the escape room experience age-appropriate. That applies to kids and adults alike.

Empathy

Regarding the desensitization aspect, how many kidnap victims seek to relive their experiences watching movies like Saw? Time and distance may lessen the psychological impact of what they felt, but reliving the experience, even in make-believe, dulls the emotional sensitivities of those who play such games and disrespects the legacies of those who endured, suffered, or died in real-life bondage.

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Geek Out with Filk Music

Discovering the Soundtrack of Fandom

Filk Music at Boskone 61

One of the most enjoyable aspects of attending a professional convention is discovering a new fact, idea, or way of thinking. Waiting to do an author reading at the Boskone 61 convention (where I’d power-performed twice already as a panelist), I decided to attend the {Song Circle) Celestial Bodies concert. After all, I reasoned, wouldn’t hearing some classical music, say Gustav Holst‘s The Planets, ease my performance anxieties?

Little did I suspect that this decision would provide my first encounter with a different form of geekdom–filk music. Everyone knows (or thinks they do) what a geek is–an expert or enthusiast obsessed with a hobby or intellectual pursuit. However, how many know what a filk enthusiast is? I was about to find out.

History and Etymology of Filk Music

Part of my surprise about filk music stemmed from the uncertainty of what it is. The primary definition for Filk comes from aeroscientist Jordan Kare’s article in Sing Out magazine where he quotes musician Nick Smith of the Los Angeles Filkharmonics describing filk as “a mixture of song parodies and original music, humorous and serious, about subjects like science fiction, fantasy, computers, cats, politics, [etc.}” with the conclusion “almost anything goes at a Filksing.”

On the other hand, critics such as Jeff Suwak in Rawckus magazine credit filk as being more than a muscial genre but as a bona fide subculture. Like a band of ragtag heroes in a fantasy novel, Filkers challenge the suppression of the human creaative impulse. They may dress up as wookies and pirates to sing about their favorite sci-fi and fantasy films, but “Breaking the restraints of the imagination and embracing one’s true self, no matter how silly or socially-questionable that self may be, is the whole point.”

Given this lack of precision, it’s unsurprising that the term originated as a misprint in Lee Jacobs‘ essay “”The Influence of Science Fiction on Modern American Filk Music.” Cited repeatedly for amusement by the editor of the Amateur Press Society, the term became associated with the genre while still an informal occurrence at sci-fi and fantasy conventions. Only when writer Karen Anderson used it to describe a song written by her husband, sci-fi novelist Poul Anderson, did the term become formally recognized.

Filk Music--Mr. Spock
Leonard Nimoy–an honorary filker

Filk Music Structure and Types

From those humble beginnings, filk music evolved into the more formal and systematic performances I witnessed at the Boskone convention on Sunday. Rather than impromptu sessions on hotel stairwells or out-of-the way nooks, filk music now serves as a designated feature in conention schedules. Its musicians play a variety of insturments, the acoustic guitar and keyboard predominating, and they perform in filk circles. Though loosely organized, this arrangement permits egalitarian access with each performer politely awaiting his or her turn to perform.

The most common types of performance are these three: Bardic, Chaos, and Token Bardic. Bardic structure permits each participant to perform in turn around the circle. Chaos provides no sequential structure; performers shout out to play after the previous perfromer has finished. Token Bardic combines the previous two by doling out poker chips to the performers which they can toss into the center of the circle to claim the next turn.

Regardless of structure, filk music emphasizes respect for all music and all performers, whatever their expertise or proficiency. Everyone can participate; tips and suggestions are the only criticism.

Cultural Impact of Filk Music

Over the years, filk has matured from ad hoc performances played and enjoyed by sci-fi fans to a distinctive genre with its own jargon (filkspeak, a subcategory of fanspeak) and subgenres. Some examples are hymnal speak (group singing from a hymnal), filkhogs (performers who sing more than their fair share of songs), and found filk (songs not written as filk but show a folkish love of incongruities). Filkers even have an award for the best example of their music–the Pegasus Award–given annually at the Ohio Valley Filk Fest.

Despite all the above, filk’s sense of ingenuousness and gentle satire remains. Amy Kucharik, the moderator of the song circle I attended, stated during our Messenger dialog that she remained “uncertain whether my music qualifies as ‘filk’ per se (vs music with nerdy concepts and pop culture references) but it was so much fun to be at Boskone.” Performers and listeners still do it for the enjoyment of the music and the rebelliousness of their self-expression. As ethnomusicologist Sally Childs-Helton puts it, “We have taken our right to be creative and to literally ‘play’ in the best sense of that word.” Given the recent political and sociological excesses attributed to overzealous fans, aren’t the orderly and egalitarian actions of devoted musical geeks something to celebrate?

Filk Music

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Memorable Days Not Honored as Holidays

Introduction

Some days are so significant they are remembered despite the fact they are not celebrated nationally, unlike Christmas or the Fourth of July. Nor are such days designated to provide secular alternatives to holidays most people celebrate such as Festivus. The days in question are those where people recall exactly what we were doing on the date the days occurred. Based on the discussion on my Facebook feed, January 6th, 2021, the date of the insurrection against the peaceful transfer of power in the federal government, constitutes one of those memorable days.

Yet, however significant the events that occurred on that particular day may be, today’s discussion focuses on what you were doing or feeling when you heard or saw the event. How did learning the news make you feel? Angry? Elated? Disheartened? All three?

All of those emotions surged through me on January 6th. And they still do three years later. But it wasn’t the first time I felt those emotions. Reflecting back on my experiences, there have been a number of times events beyond my control made me remember exactly where I was, what I was doing, and how I felt on those fateful days.

The List

December 6, 1941

Well before my birthday, but this is the date that launched the paradigm. Everyone alive then says they know exactly where they were when they heard the Japanese military had bombed Pearl Harbor. The date is not celebrated formally, but everyone recognizes it as the original Day of Infamy.

August 6, 1945

This date marks the dropping of the first atomic bomb on the city of Hiroshima, Japan. A second bomb destroyed Nagasaki three days later, and the Japanese government surrendered several weeks after that. Neither bombing marks the official end of World War II, but their consequent impact on world events never has been more significant.

February 3, 1945

The Day the Music Died according to singer Don McLean had significant impact for a generation including many of my older friends. For me this time marked the verge of my teenage years which included listening to rock and roll on the radio. Iowa is close to my home state of Wisconsin, and I remember how cold and snowy it was that night as it was during most winters back then. The-conditions were so terrible that Buddy Holly, the Big Bopper, and Ritchie Valens should never have climbed into that small aircraft which they plummeted them to their deaths.

November 22, 1963

The news of Kennedy’s assassination dumbfounded me. How was it possible? Who did it? A million more questions popped into my head when the news of the shooting came over the school loudspeakers. Neither the frog I was dissecting in my introductory biology class nor not much else got done the rest of that day. Our last classes ended a few minutes early–small consolation for dealing with such an earth-shattering news.

November 15, 1969

the largest anti-war protest march in our nation’s history occurred on this date. Over a half-million protesters filled the Wasington Mall to demand an end to the Vietnam War. I and three of my college dormitory friends took turns driving across the country to participate in the march and its ceremonies. Proud, exultant, and inspired as all of us felt then, it still seems impossible that it could take six more years before the war ended and I’d get drafted in the process.

August 9, 1974

Not only was this the day President Richard Nixon resigned from office, but it also marks the day of our wedding anniversary. Living in Boston at the time, it was tempting to think all the cheering everywhere was for our nuptials. In truth, however, it expressed how grateful the people of the only state who voted for Nixon’s opponent, George McGovern, were for Nixon leaving office.

September 11, 2001

The collapse of the World Trade Center is not a day most New Yorkers are likely to forget. At the time, my wife and I lived in Minneapolis and I had surgery the previous day to repair a torn cruciate cartilege in my left knee. Confinement to the davenport forced me to witness the nightmarish repetition of the two planes crashing into the buildings and their horrifying collapse.

Conclusion

The above entries identify some of the events that changed my life during the past seventy years. You may quibble over the stature of some of the entries or point out others that I have omitted. You may even wonder as I did about the twenty-year gap between the last entry and January 6, 2021. It’s not that few significant events occurred during that time; rather, many of those peak events like the Wall Street collapse or the Crimean invasion served as precursors to the insurrection three years ago. Consequently, many of us feel an ongoing anguish in its aftermath and for our prospects in the days ahead. But what I’ve learned over that time tells me that such feelings never last. And if that assessment is not significant or memorable, little else is.

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